Thursday, December 11, 2014

College Football Bowl Game Predictions 2014-2015

College Football Bowl Game Predictions for the Season Ending 2014-2015

Our preseason rankings seen at this link, had as the first five teams: Alabama, Auburn, Florida State, Oregon and Ohio State,
four of which are in the National Championship College Football Playoffs.

In our opinion, the College Football Playoff Selection Committee did a fine job in selecting teams, resulting in good match-ups all down the playoff and bowl line-up, thus reducing irreconcilable controversies, and allowing all teams to make a statement at the end of the season as to how good they really are.

It has been a tough year for prognosticating. After the 15th Week of play we are 596-222 in calling the winner (73%), 349-344 against the spread, excluding ties (50.4%), and 363-347 against the CFPT prediction average (51.1%). We hope to keep above .500 for the bowl games and  include the traditional Army vs. Navy game (the "16th week") in our bowl predictions.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind.  No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

The game odds ("point spread", "spread") etc. used here were taken -- as far as possible -- from the opening lines posted at Oddsshark, ESPN and CFPT (The College Football Prediction Tracker). The "CFPT prediction average" was taken from CFPT. Please note that posted odds can differ among the various sources and that these can change over time, but our predictions, once made, do not reflect later changes. We do this FOR FUN. Professional oddsmakers do it for a living and they are skilled at what they do. Never rely on our posted odds here for betting. Go to the sources and always check and cross-check.

To see our team rankings after the 15th week -- used for our predictions -- see our College Football Rankings and Ratings After Week 15 FBS 2014

Be sure to check out the head coaching changes.

After each team, the figure in parentheses gives the team's rank in our system.
Please Note: Ultimately, the fans and TV viewers, via purchases of sponsored products, pay for sports broadcasting, and we thus think it is OK and not "commercial" to mention such sponsers here in this posting in bowl game names, etc. We have no connection to them.

Saturday, December 13, 2014

The "Army-Navy Game" - first in 1890, played 84 consecutive years since 1930.
Navy Midshipmen (57th) vs. Army Black Knights (117th)
(game to be played at Baltimore, Maryland)
U.S. Naval Academy at Annapolis, Maryland
U.S. Military Academy at West Point, New York
The Midshipmen are favored over the Black Knights by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 16.21 points favoring Navy (Wednesday, December 10, 2014, 10:00 AM).
The over/under is 56.5 points.
Our call: 49-16 for Navy. We rate the Midshipmen at -2.5 rating points and the Black Knights at -5.8 rating points, a difference of 3.3 rating points x 10 = 33 scoreboard points. Last year Navy won 34-7.
Result: ?? for ??.

Saturday, December 20, 2014

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl, Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Nevada Wolf Pack (76th) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (88th)
The University of Nevada, Reno, Nevada
The University of Louisiana at Lafayette, Louisiana
The Wolfpack are favored over the Ragin' Cajuns by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 60 points.
Our call: 31-30 for Louisiana Lafayette (ULL, UL-Lafayette, LA-Lafayette). We rate the Wolf Pack at -3.5 rating points and the Ragin' Cajuns at -4.0 rating points, a difference of 0.5 rating points x 10 = 5 scoreboard points. The game being in Louisiana appears to give a home advantage to Lafayette, which has won the last three New Orleans bowls.
Result: ?? for ??.

Gildan New Mexico Bowl, Albuquerque, New Mexico
Utah State Aggies (42nd) vs. UTEP Miners (100th)
Utah State University, Logan, Utah
The University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, Texas
The Aggies are favored over the Miners by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 49 points.
Our call: 44-17 for Utah State. We rate the Aggies at -2.0 rating points and the Miners at -4.7 rating points, a difference of 2.7 rating points x 10 = 27 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl, Las Vegas, Nevada
Utah Utes (35th) vs. Colorado State Rams (31st)
The University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah
Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado
The Utes are favored over the Rams by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 57.5 points.
Our call: 32-30 for Colorado State. We rate the Rams at -1.2 rating points and the Utes at -1.4 rating points, a difference of 0.2 rating points x 10 = 2 scoreboard points. Rams head coach Jim McElwain has been hired as the new head coach of the Florida Gators and the Rams will be guided by interim head coach Dave Baldwin (offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach) in the bowl game. Baldwin is a possible candidate for head coach.
Result: ?? for ??.

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, Boise, Idaho
Western Michigan Broncos (74th) vs. Air Force Falcons (80th)
Western Michigan University, Kalamazoo, Michigan
U.S. Air Force Academy, El Paso County, Colorado
The Broncos are favored over the Falcons by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 56 points.
Our call: 31-27 for Western Michigan. We rate the Broncos at -3.4 rating points and the Falcons at -3.8 rating points, a difference of 0.4 rating points x 10 = 4 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl, Montgomery, Alabama
South Alabama Jaguars (101st) at Bowling Green Falcons (109th)
University of South Alabama, Mobile, Alabama
Bowling Green State University, Bowling Green, Ohio
The Falcons are favored over the Jaguars by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 54 points.
Our call: 31-27 for South Alabama. We rate the Jaguars at -4.7 rating points and the Falcons at -5.1 rating points, a difference of 0.4 rating points x 10 = 4 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Monday, December 22, 2014

Miami Beach Bowl, Miami, Florida
BYU Cougars (45th) vs. Memphis Tigers (56th)
Brigham Young University, Salt Lake City, Utah
The University of Memphis, Memphis, Tennessee
The Tigers are favored over the Cougars by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 57 points.
Our call: 28-24 for BYU. We rate the Cougars at -2.1 rating points and the Tigers at -2.5 rating points, a difference of 0.4 rating points x 10 = 4 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Tuesday, December 23, 2014

Boca Raton Bowl, Miami, Florida
Marshall Thundering Herd (26th) vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (70th)
Marshall University, Huntington, West Virginia
Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, Illinois
The Thundering Herd are favored over the Huskies by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 64 points.
Our call: 45-21 for Marshall. We rate the Thundering Herd at -0.8 rating points and the Huskies at -3.2 rating points, a difference of 2.4 rating points x 10 = 24 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl, San Diego, California
Navy Midshipmen (57th) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (67th)
U.S. Naval Academy at Annapolis, Maryland
San Diego State University, San Diego, California
The opening line saw this game as even.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 54 points.
Our call: 31-28 for Navy. We rate the Midshipmen at -2.5 rating points and the Aztecs at -2.8 rating points, a difference of 0.3 rating points x 10 = 3 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Wednesday, December 24, 2014 (Christmas Eve)

Popeyes Bahamas Bowl, Nassau, Bahamas
Central Michigan Chippewas (78th) vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (69th)
Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, Michigan
Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, Kentucky
The Hilltoppers are favored over the Chippewas by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 65 points.
Our call: 35-31 for Western Kentucky. We rate the Hilltoppers at -3.2 rating points and the Chippewas at -3.6 rating points, a difference of 0.4 rating points x 10 = 4 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Sheraton Hawai'i Bowl, Honolulu, Hawaii
Fresno State Bulldogs (92nd) vs. Rice Owls (87th)
California State University, Fresno, California
Rice University, Houston, Texas
The Bulldogs are favored over the Owls by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 58 points.
Our call: 33-30 for Rice. We rate the Owls at -4.0 rating points and the Bulldogs at -4.3 rating points, a difference of 0.3 rating points x 10 = 3 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Friday, December 26, 2014

Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl, Dallas, Texas
Illinois Fighting Illini (72nd) vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (47th)
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Louisiana Tech University, Ruston, Louisiana
The Bulldogs are favored over the Illini by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 61 points.
Our call: 34-23 for Louisiana Tech. We rate the Bulldogs at -2.2 rating points and the Illini at -3.3 rating points, a difference of 1.1 rating points x 10 = 11 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

[Detroit Lions] Quick Lane Bowl, Detroit, Michigan
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (73rd) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (68th)
Rutgers University, Piscataway Township, New Jersey
The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
The ?? are favored over the ?? by ?? points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 65.5 points.
Our call: 33-30 for North Carolina. We rate the Tar Heels at -3.1 rating points and the Scarlet Knights at -3.4 rating points, a difference of 0.3 rating points x 10 = 3 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Bitcoin St. Petersburg Bowl, St. Petersburg, Florida
NC State Wolfpack (51st) vs. UCF (Central Florida) Knights (58th)
North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina
University of Central Florida, Orlando, Florida
The Knights are favored over the Wolfpack by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 49.5 points.
Our call: 27-24 for North Carolina State. We rate the Wolfpack at -2.3 rating points and the Knights at -2.6 rating points, a difference of 0.3 rating points x 10 = 3 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Saturday, December 27, 2014

Military Bowl presented by Northrop Grumman, Annapolis, Maryland
Cincinnati Bearcats (64th) vs. Virginia Tech Hokies (63rd)
University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio
Virginia Tech University, Blacksburg, Virginia

The Bearcats are favored over the Hokies by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 51 points.
Our call: 24-23 for Virginia Tech. We rate the Hokies at -2.6 rating points and the Bearcats at -2.7 rating points, a difference of 0.1 rating points x 10 = 1 scoreboard point.
Result: ?? for ??.

Hyundai Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas
Arizona State Sun Devils (30th) vs. Duke Blue Devils (53rd)
Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona
Duke University, Durham, North Carolina
The Sun Devils are favored over the Blue Devils by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 67 points.
Our call: 35-23 for Arizona State. We rate the Sun Devils at -1.2 rating points and the Blue Devils at -2.4 rating points, a difference of 1.2 rating points x 10 = 12 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Duck Commander Independence Bowl, Shreveport, Louisiana
Miami of Florida Hurricanes (19th) vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (40th)
University of Miami, Coral Gables, Florida
University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina
The opening line saw this game as even.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 60 points.
Our call: 37-21 for Miami of Florida. We rate the Hurricanes at -0.4 rating points and the Gamecocks at -2.0 rating points, a difference of 1.6 rating points x 10 = 16 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

New Pinstripe Bowl, New York, New York (Yankee Stadium)
Boston College Eagles (41st) vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (65th)
Boston College, Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts
Pennsylvania State University, State College, Pennsylvania
The Eagles are favored over the Nittany Lions by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 39.5 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Boston College. We rate the Eagles at -2.0 rating points and the Nittany Lions at -2.7 rating points, a difference of 0.7 rating points x 10 = 7 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

National University Holiday Bowl, San Diego, California
Nebraska Cornhuskers (28th) vs. USC Trojans (21st)
University of Nebraska, Lincoln, Nebraska
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
The Trojans are favored over the Huskers by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 61.5 points.
Our call: 34-28 for USC. We rate the Trojans at -0.6 rating points and the Huskers at -1.2 rating points, a difference of 0.6 rating points x 10 = 6 scoreboard points. Outgoing head coach Bo Pelini is to be replaced by incoming Mike Riley, formerly Oregon State head coach. Husker associate head coach and offensive line coach Barney Cotton is the interim head coach for the bowl game.
Result: ?? for ??.

Monday, December 29, 2014

AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Memphis, Tennessee
Texas A&M Aggies (23rd) vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (27th)
Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas
West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia
The Mountaineers are favored over the Aggies by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 65.5 points.
Our call: 32-30 for Texas A&M. We rate the Aggies at -0.7 rating points and the Mountaineers at -0.9 rating points, a difference of 0.2 rating points x 10 = 2 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Russell Athletic Bowl, Orlando, Florida
Oklahoma Sooners (15th) vs. Clemson Tigers (20th)
The University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma
Clemson University, Clemson, South Carolina
The opening line saw this game as even.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is ??? points.
Our call: 27-23 for Oklahoma. We rate the Sooners at -0.1 rating points and the Tigers at -0.5 rating points, a difference of 0.4 rating points x 10 = 4 scoreboard points. Clemson offensive coordinator Chad Morris has been hired as the new head football coach for the SMU Mustangs.
Result: ?? for ??.

AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl, Houston, Texas
Arkansas Razorbacks (24th) vs. Texas Longhorns (33rd)
University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, Arkansas
University of Texas at Austin, Texas
The Razorbacks are favored over the Longhorns by 5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 46 points.
Our call: 24-20 for Arkansas. We rate the Razorbacks at -0.8 rating points and the Longhorns at -1.2 rating points, a difference of 0.4 rating points x 10 = 4 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Nashville, Tennessee
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (32nd) vs. LSU Tigers (16th)
University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana
Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana
The Tigers are favored over the Fighting Irish by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 51.5 points.
Our call: 34-24 for LSU. We rate the Tigers at -0.2 rating points and the Fighting Irish at -1.2 rating points, a difference of 1.0 rating points x 10 = 10 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Belk Bowl, Charlotte, North Carolina
Georgia Bulldogs (4th) vs. Louisville Cardinals (36th)
The University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia
University of Louisville, Louisville, Kentucky
The Dawgs are favored over the Cardinals by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 57 points.
Our call: 40-17 for Georgia. We rate the Dawgs at +0.9 rating points and the Cardinals at -1.4 rating points, a difference of 2.3 rating points x 10 = 23 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Foster Farms Bowl, Santa Clara, California
Maryland Terrapins (62nd) vs. Stanford Cardinal (12th)
The University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland
Stanford University, Stanford, California (Palo Alto, California)
The Cardinal are favored over the Terps by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 48 points.
Our call: 37-10 for Stanford. We rate the Cardinal at +0.1 rating points and the Terrapins at -2.6 rating points, a difference of 2.7 rating points x 10 = 27 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Wednesday, December 31, 2014 (New Year's Eve)

Chick-fil-A Bowl, Atlanta, Georgia
Mississippi (Ole Miss) Rebels (3rd) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (6th)
University of Mississippi, Oxford, Mississippi
Texas Christian University, Fort Worth, Texas
The Horned Frogs are favored over the Rebels by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 56 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Ole Miss. We rate the Rebels at +0.9 rating points and the Horned Frogs at +0.8 rating points, a difference of 0.1 rating points x 10 = 1 scoreboard point.
Result: ?? for ??.

Vizio Fiesta Bowl, Glendale, Arizona
Boise State Broncos (34th) vs. Arizona Wildcats (22nd)
Boise State University, Boise, Idaho
The University of Arizona, Tuscon, Arizona
The Wildcats are favored over the Broncos by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 68.5 points.
Our call: 35-30 for Arizona. We rate the Wildcats at -0.7 rating points and the Broncos at -1.2 rating points, a difference of 0.5 rating points x 10 = 5 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Capital One Orange Bowl, Miami, Florida
Mississippi State Bulldogs (7th) vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (29th)
Mississippi State University, Starkville, Mississippi
Georgia Tech University, Atlanta, Georgia
The Bulldogs are favored over the Yellow Jackets by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 61 points.
Our call: 37-20 for Mississippi State. We rate the Bulldogs at +0.5 rating points and the Yellow Jackets at -1.2 rating points, a difference of 1.7 rating points x 10 = 17 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Thursday, January 1, 2015 
(New Year's Day. Happy New Year!)

Outback Bowl, Tampa, Florida
Auburn Tigers (8th) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (17th)
Auburn University, Auburn, Alabama
University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin
The Tigers are favored over the Badgers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 61.5 points.
Our call: 38-31 for Auburn. We rate the Tigers at +0.3 rating points and the Badgers at -0.2 rating points, a difference of 0.5 rating points x 10 = 5 scoreboard points. Wisconsin head coach Gary Andersen has left the Badgers to become the head coach at Oregon State, whose former head coach Mike Riley was hired to replace departing Bo Pelini at Nebraska.
Result: ?? for ??.

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic, Arlington, Texas
Michigan State Spartans (13th) vs. Baylor Bears (10th)
Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan
University of Baylor, Waco, Texas
The Bears are favored over the Spartans by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 70.5 points.
Our call: 32-30 for Michigan State. We rate the Bears at +0.1 rating points and the Spartans at -0.1 rating points, a difference of 0.2 rating points x 10 = 2 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl, Orlando, Florida
Missouri Tigers (18th) vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (44th)
University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri
University of Minnesota, Twin Cities, Minnesota
The Tigers are favored over the Golden Gophers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 48.5 points.
Our call: 30-13 for Missouri. We rate the Tigers at -0.4 rating points and the Golden Gophers at -2.1 rating points, a difference of 1.7 rating points x 10 = 17 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Rose Bowl Game presented by Northwestern Mutual, Pasadena, California
College Football Playoff Semifinal Game
Oregon Ducks (2nd) vs. Florida State Seminoles (9th)
University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon
Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida

The Ducks are favored over the Seminoles by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 71 points.
Our call: 42-30 for Oregon. We rate the Ducks at +1.3 rating points and the Seminoles at +0.1 rating points, a difference of 1.2 rating points x 10 = 12 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Allstate Sugar Bowl, Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
College Football Playoff Semifinal Game
Alabama Crimson Tide (1st) vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (5th)
University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio

The Crimson Tide are favored over the Buckeyes by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 58 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Alabama. We rate the Crimson Tide at +1.7 rating points and the Buckeyes at +0.8 rating points, a difference of 0.9 rating points x 10 = 9 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Friday, January 2, 2015

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl, Fort Worth, Texas
Houston Cougars (75th) vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (48th)
University of Houston, Houston, Texas
University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
The Panthers are favored over the Cougars by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 53.5 points.
Our call: 33-21 for Pittsburgh. We rate the Panthers at -2.2 rating points and the Cougars at -3.4 rating points, a difference of 1.2 rating points x 10 = 12 scoreboard points. Houston head coach Tony Levine is departing and interim head coach for the bowl game will be David Gibbs (defensive coordinator).
Result: ?? for ??.

Taxslayer Bowl, Jacksonville, Florida
Iowa Hawkeyes (59th) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (37th)
University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa
University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee
The Vols are favored over the Hawkeyes by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 51.5 points.
Our call: 28-20 for Tennessee. We rate the Vols at -1.8 rating points and the Hawkeyes at -2.6 rating points, a difference of 0.8 rating points x 10 = 8 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Valero Alamo Bowl, San Antonio, Texas
Kansas State Wildcats (14th) vs. UCLA Bruins (11th)
Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas
University of California at Los Angeles, Westwood, California
The Wildcats are favored over the Bruins by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 59 points.
Our call: 33-31 for UCLA. We rate the Bruins at +0.1 rating points and the Wildcats at -0.1 rating points, a difference of 0.2 rating points x 10 = 2 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

TicketCity Cactus Bowl, Tempe, Arizona
Washington Huskies (38th) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (49th)
University of Washington, Seattle, Washington
Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma
The Huskies are favored over the Cowboys by 5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 55.5 points.
Our call: 31-27 for Washington. We rate the Huskies at -1.9 rating points and the Cowboys at -2.3 rating points, a difference of 0.4 rating points x 10 = 4 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Saturday, January 3, 2015

Birmingham Bowl, Birmingham, Alabama
East Carolina Pirates (39th) vs. Florida Gators (25th)
East Carolina University, Greenville, North Carolina
University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
The Gators are favored over the Pirates by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 57 points.
Our call: 33-21 for Florida. We rate the Gators at -0.8 rating points and the Pirates at -2.0 rating points, a difference of 1.2 rating points x 10 = 12 scoreboard points. Head coach Will Muschamp is departing, to be replaced by Jim McElwain of Colorado State. Defensive coordinator D.J. Durkin is the interim head coach for the bowl game.
Result: ?? for ??.

Sunday, January 4, 2015

GoDaddy Bowl, Mobile, Alabama
Toledo Rockets (66th) vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (82nd)
University of Toledo, Toledo, Ohio
Arkansas State University, Jonesboro, Arkansas
The Rockets are favored over the Red Wolves by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is 66 points.
Our call: 37-27 for Toledo. We rate the Rockets at -2.8 rating points and the Red Wolves at -3.8 rating points, a difference of 1.0 rating points x 10 = 10 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Monday, January 12, 2015



College Football Championship Game
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas (Home Stadium of the Dallas Cowboys)
The College Football Championship Game is sponsored by Dr. Pepper, which, according to the Wikipedia "paid an estimated $35 million for the sponsorship rights through 2020".
Winner of Alabama vs. Ohio State
vs. 
Winner of Oregon vs. Florida State
The ?? are favored over the ?? by ?? points.
The CFPT prediction average is ?? points favoring ??.
The over/under is ??? points.
Our call: - for ??. We rate the ?? at -0.0 rating points and the ?? at -0.0 rating points, a difference of 0.0 rating points x 10 = 0 scoreboard points.
Result: ?? for ??.

Sunday, December 07, 2014

Final Pre-Bowl College Football Rankings and Ratings After Week 15 FBS 2014 by SportPundit


Final Pre-Bowl College Football Rankings and Ratings After Week 15 FBS 2014 by SportPundit

Our preseason rankings seen at this link, had as the first five teams: Alabama, Auburn, Florida State, Oregon and Ohio State,
four of which are in the National Championship College Football Playoffs.

A team's rating below is its net average yards per play advantage, minus a schedule difficulty calculation, minus a calculation for losses.

Our rankings are based on the NAYPPA of each team (net average yards per play advantage) minus our own special calculation based on the schedule difficulty as calculated at Massey Ratings. From the NAYPPA we subtract 3 x the schedule difficulty divided by 100, e.g. schedule difficulty 30 x 3 = 90 divided by 100 = .9, which is subtracted). We subtract also .2 for each loss.

We take the cumulative yards per play stat data from cfbstats.com and from the college and university football athletic pages online, as linked here for each team, if possible. Many schools have cumulative season statistics, but some have none, or are difficult to access.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind.  No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

College Football Rankings and Ratings by SportPundit After Week 14 FBS 2014 Season
Note that we ranked Alabama Number 1 in our preseason rankings.
After
WEEK

15
Team
Rank
2014
by 
Sport
Pundit


TEAM
Name
(head
coaching
change
marked
by

## link)


2014
NAYPPA
net
average
yards per play
advantage
offense
over
defense
stats from
cfbstats.com

(our
calculation) 


yards
per
play
offense
cfbstats
.com

yards
per
play
defense
cfbstats
.com



Schedule
difficulty
rank


 (this
15th
week
for the

1st
time

based
solely
on
Massey
Ratings)

W-L
(won
-loss)
record
2014

YPPSYS
2014

Team
Rating by
Sport

Pundit
after

Week 15

1
Alabama
2.0

6.73
4.68

3
12-1
+1.7
2 Oregon 1.9

7.34
5.40

12
12-1
+1.3

3 Mississippi 1.7

6.33
4.61

6
9-3
+0.9
4 Georgia 2.0

6.82
4.81

17
9-3
+0.9
5 Ohio State 2.3

7.04
4.79

44
12-1
+0.8
6 TCU 1.9

6.78
4.85

30
11-1
+0.8
7 Mississippi St.
1.2


6.62
5.46


10

10-2

+0.5

8 Auburn 1.1

6.72
5.60

1
8-4
+0.3
Florida State
1.1

6.42
5.31

32
13-0
+0.1
10 Baylor
1.4


6.56
5.17


37

11-1

+0.1

11 UCLA 0.8

6.04
5.22

2
9-3
+0.1
12Stanford 1.7

5.89
4.21

19
7-5
+0.1
13 Michigan State 1.6

6.58
4.80

43
10-2
-0.1
14 Kansas State 1.0

6.31
5.31

16
9-3
-0.1
15 Oklahoma1.4

6.59
5.16

22
8-4
-0.1
16 LSU 0.7

5.44
4.78

5
8-4
-0.2
17 Wisconsin
2.0


6.80
4.76


53

10-3

-0.2

18 Missouri 0.5

5.29
4.76

11
10-3
-0.4
19 Miami (Florida) 2.0

6.77
4.73

41
6-6
-0.4
20 Clemson 1.4

5.40
4.03

42
9-3
-0.5
21 USC ## 0.7

5.96
5.27

18
8-4
-0.6
22 Arizona 0.2

5.81
5.58

9
10-3

-0.7
23 Texas A&M 0.5

6.33
5.89

7

7-5

-0.7

24 Arkansas 0.5

5.84
5.33

4
6-6
-0.8
25Florida0.8

5.29
4.45

20
6-5
-0.8
26 Marshall 3.0

7.65
4.68

120
12-1
-0.8
27 West Virginia 0.6

5.91
5.34

16
7-5
-0.9
28 Nebraska 1.1

6.29
5.23

57
9-3
-1.2
29 Georgia Tech 0.4

6.62
6.23

35
10-3
-1.2
30 Arizona State
0.2


5.91
5.66


28
9-3
-1.2
31 Colorado State 1.6

7.21
5.62

79
10-2
-1.2
32 Notre Dame 0.7

6.13
5.44

31
7-5
-1.2
33 Texas ## 0.4

5.10
4.67

14
6-6
-1.2
34 Boise State ## 1.2


6.51
5.31

65
11-2
-1.2
35 Utah -0.2

5.19
5.36

13
8-4
-1.4
36 Louisville ## 0.9

5.48
4.58

55
9-3
-1.4
37 Tennessee -0.4

4.82
5.23

8
6-6
-1.8
38 Washington ## 0.1

5.38
5.32

33
8-5
-1.9
39 East Carolina 1.5

6.60
5.12

91
8-4
-2.0
40 South Carolina
0.1


6.13
6.26

29
6-6
-2.0
41 Boston College 0.6

5.67
5.05

52
7-5
-2.0
42 Utah State
1.0


5.84
4.82


75

9-4

-2.0

43 Texas Tech 0.4

6.62
6.24

27
4-8
-2.0
44 Minnesota 0.1

5.43
5.32

47
8-4
-2.1
45 BYU 0.9

5.79
4.93

73
8-4
-2.1
46 Michigan 0.6

5.32
4.77

48
5-7
-2.2
47 Louisiana Tech 1.0

5.85
4.88

72
8-5
-2.2
48 Pittsburgh 0.8

6.20
5.43

61
6-6
-2.2
49 Oklahoma St. -0.4

5.36
5.80

25
6-6
-2.3
50 California -0.2

6.09
6.27

23
5-7
-2.3
51 N.C. State 0.6

5.94
5.30

62
7-5
-2.3
52 Oregon State 0.2

5.57
5.76

39
5-7
-2.4
53 Duke 0.2

5.39
5.24

66
9-3
-2.4
54 Georgia Southern 1.9

7.34
5.49

124
9-3
-2.4
55 Kentucky -0.1

5.43
5.50

34
5-7
-2.5
56 Memphis 0.8

5.54
4.75

89
9-3
-2.5
57 Navy 0.8

6.72
5.94

77
6-5
-2.5
58 UCF 0.8

5.05
4.29

95
9-3
-2.6
59 Iowa
0.2


5.40
5.19

59
7-5
-2.6
60 Virginia -0.1

5.08
5.14

36
5-7
-2.6
61 Washington St. -0.1

6.12
6.18

24
3-9
-2.6
62 Maryland -0.1

5.33
5.43

50
7-5
-2.6
63 Virginia Tech 0.0

4.94
4.99

46
6-6
-2.6
64 Cincinnati 0.2

6.28
6.07

77
9-3
-2.7
65 Penn State ## 0.4

4.49
4.13

63
6-6
-2.7
66 Toledo 0.9

6.54
5.69

96
8-4
-2.8
67 San Diego St. 1.0

5.96
5.00

92
7-5
-2.8
68 North Carolina -0.8

5.55
6.40

38
6-6
-3.1
69 W. Kentucky ## 0.4

6.91
6.53

88
7-5
-3.2
70 North. Illinois 0.4

5.78
5.40

107
11-2
-3.2
71 Syracuse -0.1

4.90
5.00

45
3-9
-3.2
72 Illinois -0.6

5.38
6.00

49
6-6
-3.3
73  Rutgers -0.7

5.80
6.47

58
7-5
-3.4
74   West. Michigan 1.0

6.56
5.52

121
8-4
-3.4
75 Houston 0.8

5.56
4.79

108
7-5
-3.4
76 Nevada -0.5

5.45
5.89

69
7-5
-3.5
77 Indiana -0.2

5.70
5.85

60
4-8
-3.6
78  Cent. Michigan 0.5

5.63
5.13

103
7-5
-3.6
79 Northwestern -0.8

4.50
5.25

51
5-7
-3.7
80 Air Force -0.2

5.48
5.72

101
9-3
-3.8
81 Appalachian St. 1.0

6.31
5.31

126
7-5
-3.8
82 Arkansas St. ## 0.5

5.96
5.51

110
7-5
-3.8
83 Temple 0.0

4.79
4.75

93
6-6
-4.0

84 Mid. Tennessee 0.1

5.93
5.85

98
6-6
-4.0
85 UAB - ##
-0.1


5.51
5.68


90

6-6

-4.0

86 Old Dominion 0.3

6.44
6.15

102
6-6
-4.0
87 Rice -0.5

5.52
6.00

83
7-5
-4.0
88 Louis.-Lafayette -0.1

5.94
6.02

104
8-4
-4.0
89 Purdue -0.6

4.95
5.58

56
3-9
-4.1
90 Colorado -1.3

5.29
6.55

26
2-10
-4.1
91 Iowa State -1.6

4.90
6.53

21
2-10
-4.2
92 Fresno State -0.9

5.34
6.22

68
6-7
-4.3
93 New Mexico -0.3

6.52
6.82

79
4-8
-4.3
94 Vanderbilt -1.0

4.68
5.72

54
3-9
-4.4
95 San Jose St. -0.3

5.25
5.52

76
3-9
-4.4

96 Texas State 0.3

6.06
5.71

127
7-5
-4.5
97 Wyoming ## -1.0

5.55
6.54

67
4-8
-4.6
98 Tulane -0.8

4.83
5.65

71
3-9
-4.7
99  Kansas -1.7

4.62
6.29

40
3-9
-4.7
100 UTEP -0.8

5.45
6.27

97
7-5
-4.7
101 South Alabama -0.5

5.12
5.60

99
6-6
-4.7
102 Hawaii -0.9

4.77
5.67

70
4-9
-4.8
103 UTSA -0.7

4.48
5.23

84
4-8
-4.9
104 Buffalo 0.1

5.95
5.86

128
5-6
-4.9
105 South Florida -0.8

4.94
5.69

86
4-8
-5.0
106 Ohio -0.3

5.26
5.58

116

6-6

-5.0

107 UMass ## 0.2

5.75
5.75

115
3-9
-5.0
108 Louis.-Monroe 
-0.6


4.70
5.31


94

4-8

-5.0
109 Bowling Gr. ## -0.5

5.49
6.01

112
7-6
-5.1
110  Florida Atl. ##  -0.8

5.39
6.23

85
3-9
-5.1
111 Akron -0.2

5.03
5.18

125
5-7
-5.4
112 Wake Forest ## -1.8

3.38
5.22

64
3-9
-5.5
113 Southern Miss -1.3

5.10
6.41

80
3-9
-5.5
114 Ball State -0.7

5.17
5.87

117
5-7
-5.6
115 UConn ## -0.7

4.50
5.22

100
2-10
-5.7
116 Fl. Int'l FIU  -1.0

4.33
5.38

105
4-8
-5.7
117 Army ## -1.0

5.67
6.65

114
4-7
-5.8
118 Kent State -0.9

4.83
5.75


106
2-9
-5.9
119 Miami (Ohio) ## -0.6

5.45
6.03

109
2-10
-5.9
120 North Texas -0.6

4.87
5.48

122
4-8
-5.9
121 UNLV -1.4

5.22
6.58

82
2-11
-6.1
122 Troy -1.0

5.34
6.38

119
3-9
-6.3
123 Tulsa -1.8

5.17
6.95

87
2-10
-6.4
124 New Mexico St. -1.0

5.48
6.50

123

2-10

-6.7
125 Georgia State -1.2

5.39
6.57

113
1-11
-6.8
126 SMU -2.5

4.08
6.62

74
1-11
-6.9
127 Idaho -1.7

5.21
6.93

118
1-10
-7.2
128 E. Michigan ##  -2.3

4.46
6.75

111
2-10
-7.6





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