Saturday, October 25, 2014

College Football FBS Game Predictions for Week 9 2014 by SportPundit

College Football FBS Game Predictions for Week 9 2014 by SportPundit
Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

After the 8th Week of play we are 364-124 in calling the winner (75%), 190-189 against the spread, excluding ties (50%), and 195-192 against the CFPT prediction average (50%).

The game odds ("point spread", "spread") used here were taken from the lines posted at ESPN, Oddsshark and the College Football Prediction Tracker ("CFPT") on October 25. The "CFPT prediction average" is taken from CFPT Friday, October 24, 2014,  10:11 AM (U.S. time). They don't always agree. Please note that posted odds can differ among the various sources and that these can also often change over time, but our predictions do not reflect later changes once we have posted odds here as the basis for comparing our own selections. We do this FOR FUN. Professional oddsmakers do it for a living and they are skilled at what they do. Never rely on our posted odds here for betting. Go to the sources and always check and cross-check.

We missed predicting the weekday games of Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.
The ratings used below are based primarily on our After Week 7 Ratings, which we have not recalcultated for Week 8 Results due to lack of time. The differences would be small as teams have established their general strength this year. However, we may subjectively tweak our predictions a bit more this week.

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Texas at Kansas State
The Wildcats are favored over the Longhorns by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 13.29 points favoring Kansas State.
The over/under is 48.5 points.
Our call: 24-17 for Kansas State. We rate the Wildcats at -0.4 rating points and the Longhorns at -1.1 rating points, a difference of 0.7 rating points x 10 = 7 scoreboard points plus the Wildcats home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points but which we ignore here due to recent improvement at Texas.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Rutgers at Nebraska
The Cornhuskers are favored over the Scarlet Knights by 20 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 19.13 points favoring Nebraska.
The over/under is 61 points.
Our call: 34-20 for Nebraska. We rate the Huskers at -0.7 rating points and the Scarlet Knights at -1.8 rating points, a difference of 1.1 rating points x 10 = 11 scoreboard points plus the Big Red home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points. We remain skeptical about the Husker coaching crew skills.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Maryland at Wisconsin
The Badgers are favored over the Terrapins by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 6.36 points favoring Wisconsin.
The over/under is 57.5 points.
Our call: 31-30 for Wisconsin. We rate the Badgers at -0.9 rating points and the Terps at -1.1 rating points, a difference of 0.2 rating points x 10 = 2 scoreboard points minus the Badgers home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Minnesota at Illinois
The Golden Gophers are favored over the Illini by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -9.43 points favoring Minnesota.
The over/under is 56 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Minnesota. We rate the Golden Gophers at -1.3 rating points and the Illini at -2.4 rating points, a difference of 1.1 rating points x 10 = 11 scoreboard points minus the Illinois home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 1.5209 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

North Texas at Rice
The Owls are favored over the Mean Green by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 13.45 points favoring Rice.
The over/under is 57.5 points.
Our call: 31-24 for Rice. We rate the Owls at -3.3 rating points and the Mean Green at -3.6 rating points, a difference of 0.3 rating points x 10 = 3 scoreboard points plus the Rice home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

UAB at Arkansas
The Razorbacks are favored over the Blazers by 27.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 18.90 points favoring Arkansas.
The over/under is 65.5 points.
Our call: 41-23 for Arkansas. We rate the Razorbacks at -0.9 rating points and the Blazers at -2.4 rating points, a difference of 1.5 rating points x 10 = 15 scoreboard points plus the Arkansas home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 6.8410 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Memphis at SMU
The Tigers are favored over the Mustangs by 23 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 23.11 points favoring Memphis.
The over/under is 49.5 points.
Our call: 34-16 for Memphis. We rate the Tigers at -1.9 rating points and the Mustangs at -4.0 rating points, a difference of 2.1 rating points x 10 = 21 scoreboard points minus the SMU home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

North Carolina at Virginia
The Cavaliers are favored over the Tar Heels by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 5.93 points favoring Virginia.
The over/under is 65 points.
Our call: 38-21 for Virginia. We rate the Cavaliers at -1.0 rating points and the Tar Heels at -2.4 rating points, a difference of 1.4 rating points x 10 = 14 scoreboard points plus the Virginia home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

San Jose State at Navy
The Midshipmen are favored over the Spartans by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 4.42 points favoring Navy.
The over/under is 53.5 points. 
Our call: 30-27 for San Jose State. We rate the Midshipmen at -2.9 rating points and the Spartans at -3.1 rating points, a difference of 0.2 rating points x 10 = 2 scoreboard points plus the Navy home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as a minus -5.7271 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan
The Huskies are favored over the Eagles by 20.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -16.26 points favoring Northern Illinois.
The over/under is 61.5 points. 
Our call: 33-23 for Northern Illinois. We rate the Huskies at -2.9 rating points and the Eagles at -4.0 rating points, a difference of 1.1 rating points x 10 = 11 scoreboard points minus the Eastern Michigan home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 1.2687 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

UCLA at Colorado
The Bruins are favored over the Buffaloes by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -14.97 points favoring UCLA.
The over/under is 67.5 points. 
Our call: 38-23 for UCLA. We rate the Bruins at -0.9 rating points and the Buffaloes at -2.9 rating points, a difference of 2.0 rating points x 10 = 20 scoreboard points minus the Colorado home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 5.3363 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Akron at Ball State
The Zips are favored over the Cardinals by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average is 0.14 points favoring Ball State.
The over/under is 48 points. 
Our call: 27-24 for Akron. We rate the Zips at -2.7 rating points and the Cardinals at -4.2 rating points, a difference of 1.5 rating points x 10 = 15 scoreboard points minus the Ball State home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points. Last week, Akron looked weaker, Ball State stronger than the stats.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Ohio at Western Michigan
The Broncos are favored over the Bobcats by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 9.28 points favoring Western Michigan.
The over/under is 51 points.
Our call: 38-24 for Western Michigan. We rate the Broncos at -2.8 rating points and the Bobcats at -4.2 rating points, a difference of 1.4 rating points x 10 = 14 scoreboard points plus the Western Michigan home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 0.6763 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Georgia Southern at Georgia State
The Eagles are favored over the Panthers by 17.5 points.
The over/under is 68 points. 
The CFPT prediction average is -15.61 points favoring Georgia Southern.
Our call: 48-17 for Georgia Southern. We rate the Eagles at -1.5 rating points and the Panthers at -4.9 rating points, a difference of 3.4 rating points x 10 = 34 scoreboard points minus the Georgia State home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as a minus -2.5122.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Massachusetts at Toledo
The Rockets are favored over the Minutemen by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 14.46 points favoring Toledo.
The over/under is 71 points.
Our call: 41-23 for Toledo. We rate the Rockets at -2.7 rating points and the Minutemen at -4.0 rating points, a difference of 1.3 rating points x 10 = 13 scoreboard points plus the Toledo home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 4.3270.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Kent State at Miami of Ohio
The RedHawks are favored over the Golden Flashes by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 3.80 points favoring Miami of Ohio.
The over/under is 53 points.
Our call: 30-21 for Miami of Ohio. We rate the RedHawks at -4.1 rating points and the Golden Flashes at -4.9 rating points, a difference of 0.8 rating points x 10 = 8 scoreboard points plus the Miami of Ohio home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 1.3390.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Mississippi State at Kentucky
The Bulldogs are favored over the Wildcats by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -17.12 points favoring Mississippi State.
The over/under is 58.5 points. 
Our call: 38-24 for Mississippi State. We rate the Bulldogs at +0.5 rating points and the Wildcats at -1.4 rating points, a difference of 1.9 rating points x 10 = 19 scoreboard points minus the Kentucky home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 4.5524.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Michigan at Michigan State
The Spartans are favored over the Wolverines by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 20.02 points favoring Michigan State.
The over/under is 50.5 points. 
Our call: 34-20 for Michigan State. We rate the Spartans at -0.6 rating points and the Wolverines at -1.8 rating points, a difference of 1.2 rating points x 10 = 12 scoreboard points plus the Michigan State home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 2.2096.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Texas Tech at TCU
The Horned Frogs are favored over the Red Raiders by 23 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 24.7 points favoring TCU.
The over/under is 72 points. 
Our call: 45-24 for TCU. We rate the Horned Frogs at +0.0 rating points and the Red Raiders at -1.7 rating points, a difference of 1.7 rating points x 10 = 17 scoreboard points plus the TCU home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 4.5426.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

West Virginia at Oklahoma State
The Cowboys are favored over the Mountianeers by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average is 1.05 points favoring Oklahoma State.
The over/under is 66 points.
Our call: 34-27 for Oklahoma State. We rate the Cowboys at -0.9 rating points and the Mountaineers at -1.0 rating points, a difference of 0.1 rating points x 10 = 1 scoreboard point plus the Oklahoma State home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 6.0692.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Florida Atlantic at Marshall
The Thundering Herd are favored over the Owls by 28 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 25.56 points favoring Marshall.
The over/under is 67 points.
Our call: 46-17 for Marshall. We rate the Thundering Herd at -1.1 rating points and the Owls at -3.1 rating points, a difference of 2.0 rating points x 10 = 20 scoreboard points plus the Marshall home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 8.7523.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Louisiana Tech at Southern Miss
The Bulldogs are favored over the Golden Eagles by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -10.52 points favoring Louisiana Tech.
The over/under is 55.5 points. 
Our call: 37-23 for Louisiana Tech. We rate the Bulldogs at -2.1 rating points and the Golden Eagles at -4.7 rating points, a difference of 2.6 rating points x 10 = 26 scoreboard points minus the Southern Miss home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points. Southern Miss has been improving.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
The Panthers are favored over the Yellow Jackets by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 0.97 points favoring Pittsburgh.
The over/under is 55 points. 
Our call: 27-23 for Pittsburgh. We rate the Yellow Jackets at -1.2 rating points and the Panthers at -1.9 rating points, a difference of 0.7 rating points x 10 = 7 scoreboard points minus the Pittsburgh home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points. Pitt beat Virginia Tech 21-16 last week, who we rated equal to Georgia Tech, so we go with Pittsburgh.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Oregon State at Stanford
The Cardinal are favored over the Beavers by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 11.81 points favoring Stanford.
The over/under is 42 points.
Our call: 28-13 for Stanford. We rate the Cardinal at -0.8 rating points and the Beavers at -2.1 rating points, a difference of 1.3 rating points x 10 = 13 scoreboard points plus the Stanford home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 0.2804.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Boston College at Wake Forest
The Eagles are favored over the Demon Deacons by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -12.98 points favoring Aa.
The over/under is 40.5 points.
Our call: 27-16 for Boston College. We rate the Eagles at -2.3 rating points and the Demon Deacons at -3.7 rating points, a difference of 1.4 rating points x 10 = 14 scoreboard point minus the Wake Forest home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 2.3943.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Central Michigan at Buffalo
The Chippewas are favored over the Bulls by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -3.86 points favoring Central Michigan.
The over/under is 58.5 points. 
Our call: 34-24 for Central Michigan. We rate the Chippews at -2.8 rating points and the Bulls at -4.1 rating points, a difference of 1.3 rating points x 10 = 13 scoreboard points minus the Buffalo home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Vanderbilt at Missouri
The Tigers are favored over the Commodores by 24 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 24.51 points favoring Missouri.
The over/under is 43 points. 
Our call: 35-14 for Missouri. We rate the Tigers at -1.1 rating points and the Commodores at -3.0 rating points, a difference of 1.9 rating points x 10 = 19 scoreboard points plus the Missouri home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 2.3297.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Old Dominion at Western Kentucky
The Wildcats are favored over the Monarchs by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 12.22 points favoring Western Kentucky.
The over/under is 77.5 points. 
Our call: 40-31 for Western Kentucky. We rate the Hilltoppers at -2.7 rating points and the Monarchs at -3.3 rating points, a difference of 0.6 rating points x 10 = 6 scoreboard points plus the Western Kentucky home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

UNLV at Utah State
The Aggies are favored over the Rebels by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 20.94 points favoring Utah State.
The over/under is 51.5 points. 
Our call: 33-17 for Utah State. We rate the Aggies at -2.3 rating points and the Rebels at -3.9 rating points, a difference of 1.6 rating points x 10 = 16 scoreboard points plus the Aggies home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 0.0293.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Temple at UCF
The Knights are favored over the Owls by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 9.24 points favoring Central Florida.
The over/under is 45.5 points. 
Our call: 28-14 for UCF. We rate the Knights at -1.7 rating points and the Owls at -2.9 rating points, a difference of 1.2 rating points x 10 = 12 scoreboard points plus the Central Florida home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 4.4778.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Arizona at Washington State
The Wildcats are favored over the Cougars by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -6.46 points favoring Arizona.
The over/under is 73.5 points. 
Our call: 36-34 for Arizona. We rate the Wildcats at -1.3 rating points and the Cougars at -1.8 rating points, a difference of 0.5 rating points x 10 = 5 scoreboard points minus the Washington State home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 1.0834.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Syracuse at Clemson
The Tigers are favored over the Orange by 14.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 17.17 points favoring Clemson.
The over/under is 48.5 points. 
Our call: 31-17 for Clemson. We rate the Tigers at -0.7 rating points and the Orange at -1.8 rating points, a difference of 1.1 rating points x 10 = 11 scoreboard points plus the Clemson home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 4.4744.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

UTEP at UTSA
The Roadrunners are favored over the Miners by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 10.44 points favoring Texas San Antonio.
The over/under is 48 points. 
Our call: 27-24 for UTSA. We rate the Roadrunners at -2.7 rating points and the Miners at -3.2 rating points, a difference of 0.5 rating points x 10 = 5 scoreboard points plus the Texas-San Antonio home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as a minus -7.4185.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Wyoming at Colorado State
The Rams are favored over the Cowboys by 18.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 19.13 points favoring Aa.
The over/under is 53.5 points.
Our call: 38-24 for Colorado State. We rate the Rams at -2.2 rating points and the Cowboys at -3.1 rating points, a difference of 0.9 rating points x 10 = 9 scoreboard points plus the Colorado Statehome field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 4.6622.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Texas State at Louisiana Monroe
The Warhawks are favored over the Bobcats by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 5.22 points favoring Louisiana Monroe.
The over/under is 51.5 points. 
Our call: 27-24 for Texas State. We rate the Bobcats at -2.9 rating points and the Warhawks at -3.6 rating points, a difference of 0.7 rating points x 10 = 7 scoreboard points minus the LA Monroe home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 0.7681.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Mississippi at LSU
The Rebels are favored over the Tigers by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -5.95 points favoring Ole Miss.
The over/under is 45 points. 
Our call: 31-20 for Ole Miss. We rate the Rebels at +0.7 rating points and the Tigers at -0.6 rating points, a difference of 1.3 rating points x 10 = 13 scoreboard points minus the LSU home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 0.8486.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Alabama at Tennessee
The Crimson Tide are favored over the Volunteers by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -13.86 points favoring Aa.
The over/under is 46 points. 
Our call: 35-14 for Alabama. We rate the Crimson Tide at +0.4 rating points and the Vols at -1.1 rating points, a difference of 1.5 rating points x 10 = 15 scoreboard points plus the Alabama home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as a minus -1.0638. If Alabama plays the rest of the way against the rest of the world the way they did against Texas A&M, they will be Number One at the end of this college football season, as we predicted pre-season. In their 23-17 loss to Ole Miss, they outgained the Rebels 396 to 327 yards and lost due to mental errors.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

South Carolina at Auburn
The Tigers are favored over the Gamecocks by 19 points.
The CFPT prediction average is 18.73 points favoring Auburn.
The over/under is 65 points. 
Our call: 41-20 for Auburn. We rate the Tigerss at +0.4 rating points and the Gamecocks at -1.1 rating points, a difference of 1.5 rating points x 10 = 15 scoreboard points plus the Auburn home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 3.6034. Auburn was fairly beaten by Mississippi State, who looked impressive in the game, and Auburn did not.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Ohio State at Penn State
The Buckeyes are favored over the Nittany Lions by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -12.76 points favoring Aa.
The over/under is 52.5 points. 
Our call: 27-23 for Ohio State. We rate the Buckeyes at -0.8 rating points and the Nittany Lions at -1.8 rating points, a difference of 1.0 rating points x 10 = 10 scoreboard points minus the Penn State home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 5.0556.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

USC at Utah
The Utes are favored over the Trojans by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average is 0.49 points favoring Utah.
The over/under is 51.5 points.
Our call: 24-23 for USC. We rate the Trojans at -0.7 rating points and the Utes at -0.9 rating points, a difference of 0.2 rating points x 10 = 2 scoreboard points minus the Utah home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 1.6821.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Arizona State at Washington
The Sun Devils are favored over the Huskies by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -1.66 points favoring Arizona State.
The over/under is 60 points. 
Our call: 34-27 for Arizona State. We rate the Sun Devilss at -0.9 rating points and the Huskies at -1.5 rating points, a difference of 0.6 rating points x 10 = 6 scoreboard points minus the Washington home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 4.3852.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

Nevada at Hawaii
The Wolf Pack are favored over the Warriors by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average is -7.65 points favoring Nevada.
The over/under is 51.5 points. 
Our call: 31-21 for Nevada. We rate the Wolf Pack at -2.3 rating points and the Warriors at -3.5 rating points, a difference of 1.2 rating points x 10 = 12 scoreboard points minus the Hawaii home field advantage, normally calculated as ca. 3 points, which Kambour has as 8.0998.
Result: 00-00 for ??.

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